Update February 14, 2013
1) Profit taking, after equities appreciate 20% or more, I sometimes profit take, right now, I am buying CDs that are fairly short term. I ran an elimination on equities in the Ts basket that are up over 20% and that I established the position in 2011.
5 30 90 180
HURC 3 3 3 1
PRAA 2 2 2 2
Z 1 1 1 4
MMM 5 4 4 5
CVS 4 5 5 3
Decision: Profit take on MMM and CVS, buy a CD, this one is really short, comes due in November 2013.
2) New red report
In order of least red to most red, 5 least red in the account:
5 30 90 180 365
PSMT - - - 4 -
MCD - - 3 3 -
SSL 1 2 2 2 -
IBKR 2 1 4 1 -
MELI - - 1 - -
Here is the 180 day chart:
Decisions:
Sell 60 PSMT Market: Pricesmart has come from positive to just barely negative, get out, preserve capital.
Buy 40 IBKR Market, Interactive brokers is climbing into positive territory ( I hope)
Buy 10 SSL Market, Sasol also looks to be climbing into positive territory
3) Bottom Feeding, sometimes equities that are strongly down start coming back up, we want to pick up on the trend and consider adding to the position.
5 30 90 180 365
MAKO 3 1 - - -
WPRT 2 3 4 - -
PPO 1 2 1 1 1
FFIV - 5 3 2 -
TEVA 4 6 5 - -
CHKP 5 4 2 3 -
Decisions:
Sell 10 FFIV close the position
Buy 15 PPO@Market, last close 44.03
4) Open Limit Orders February 14, 2013 last close
5 30 90
BRCM 20@31.39 1 - 2 31.39
INTU 50@54.83 - - 3 54.83
ALV 10@59.00 2 1 1 59.00
Decision, change Autoliv to 10@Market
Set calendar to look at MELI and HURC in 30 days
20 shares of MELI, down 4.7% bought at 87.75 last close 83.62
200 share of HURC up 22.8% bought at 24.06 last close 29.54
Update January 8, 2013 || 2/14/13
5 30 90 || 5 30 90
IDX 2 1 2 1
HURC - 1 2
SLAB 2 3 3 3
JCI 2 1 1 2 4 1
COH 1 - - -
Decision: 1/8/13: Market order 20 JCI last close was 31.19
1/8/2013 Open limit orders: Close 2/14/13
JCI 20@30.00 - cut market order 31.83
BSX 100@5.00 last close 6.12 up 9.3% past 30 days 7.53
FDX 7@89.00 95.11 up 5.75% past 30 days 106.56
BRCM 20@31.50 34.02 down 0.21 past 30 34.57
ALV 100@59.00 65.53 up 4.2% past 30 67.79
Decision: cancel BRCM ( looks like I failed to execute)
Watchlist:
OTEX 57.48 up 3.9% past 30 days, I hold 35 shares, up 2.42% in basket.
Update 2/14/13 Closing OTEX, still up enough to pay the commissions and make a slight profit, last close at 57.33.
CHKP 48.22 up up 4.08% past 30 days, I hold 40 shares, down 14% in basket
Update January 1, 2013
As I understand it we are going to fall off the Fiscal Cliff, so let's set a couple limit orders. The 30 day performance of the lowest positive stocks in the mutual fund from top to bottom are ( and we will reward the two that performed the best with limit orders):
Update of January 1 positive stocks on February 14, 2013
2/14/13 Status Close
5 30 90 180
GSK - 4 4 - +5.54% 45.66
FDX 7@89.00 1 2 2 2 +17% 106.56
BSX 100@5.00 - 1 1 1 +23.4% 7.53
HYLD CLOSED POSITION
ENH 2 3 3 3 +13.9% 44.15
2/14/13 BSX has appreciated the most, but their debt is higher than I would like to see, set a calendar for end of 2013 to consider profit taking if still high.
On the negative side, we will reward the one that performed the best:
OTEX
IDX
SLAB
HURC
JCI 20@30.00
Thesis 12/3/12
There is no way for a small investor like me to compete with Wall Street and their analysts and computers. However I can watch the market and see what is happening.One of the exercises we go through with the Ts mutual fund is to sort all the stock by the percentage they are up or down and look closely at the zero point. The hope is to buy the stocks as cheaply as possible. We do two exercises the best performing stocks that are negative and the lowest performing stocks that are positive. The goal is to find stocks that are climbing in value.
The five red losers that have lost the least: IDX, ALV, BRCM, WFC, TDC and using the compare function in Google Finance, see which one performed the best for the past 5, 30, 90, 120 days. The winner gets a 1, second place gets a 2.
Then I repeat the process with the five lowest green ( in positive territory). Then I use that information to place a small $500 to $1000.00 increase to the positions. Here is an example from today's close:
GSK 2
HYLD
OTEX 1 1 1 1
ENH 2
HAIN 2 2
Now this is not entirely fair, HYLD is a high yield bond, so it wil have a hard time beating equities if the market is generally going up, but I like to keep an eye on that world's performance even though the bond fund basket is Ak. Anyway, based on the exercise, I placed three Good Till Canceled limit orders:
- OTEX 10@56.25
- BRCM 20@31.50
- ALV 10@59.00
I am also setting a Google Calendar reminder to keep a close look at OTEX for the next month or so.
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